O efeito da criação de novos Campi de Institutos e Universidades Federais sobre a fecundidade

Abstract

The current study analyzes the effect of creation of new campi of Federal Institutes (IFs) and Federal Universities (UFs) over women’s fertility rate, based on data from the Education Ministry’s Integrated System of Monitoring, Execution and Control (SIMEC) and DATASUS, for the periods from 1994 to 2015. To control the possible effects of public policy’s spillover, a method of spatial difference in differences has been used (SDID). The use of this method brings advantages for including not only the impact on the treated areas but also the impact on the nearby areas, allowing a more adequate estimation of the effects. The preliminary results indicate that the federal education’s expansion affected negatively the fertility rate in direct treated areas, however, in the indirectly affected, this impact was positive.