Avaliação econômica de sistema agroindustrial em assentamento rural com simulação de Monte Carlo.

Abstract

The work of the research rests in financial the economic valuation of activities in rural settlement. The evaluation of the production and milk processing in agricultural industry, as alternative for rural settlements he was projected in this work with aim to measure related results the variable of prices and costs of the activity, through probabilistic simulations. The model was structured from the box flow, having used the net present value (NVP) as indicating of result submitted the variations simulated for the method Monte Carlo. The variables were conceived by sensitivity analysis, and the results obtained in the model demonstrate the probability of 39,7% for a negative NVP. The results show that economic valuations they can compose a group of tools to support in investments of mint collective in rural settlement.